Always been a bit wary of Patrick. He reminds me of those people who in the 1990s/2000s would have become professional talking head guests on CNN. The older ex-academic/ex-industry guys who knew how to spin popular news stories into sound bites for the general public, while offering a veneer of authority. I'd rather get analysis from people who don't chase pop news stories for a living.
But he is very entertaining and has more than a veneer of authority. His early educational YouTube videos covering topics like derivatives pricing are genuinely very good.
“By our calculations, Jane Street ponied up a one-off $200mn to do the deal and then locked in a further $200mn of costs per annum, at least in part, to avoid us gawping at their numbers every quarter. Wowsers” [1].
> Jane Street has generated more than USD 40 000 000 000 in net trading revenues in the year to Friday, even accounting for the July loss, which exceeds its entire haul for 2025, according to one of the people familiar with the matter.
Sure. It’s still an embarrassing hit they’d want to keep secret, particularly if they’re still in those positions. Paying hundreds of millions to hide a $15bn MtM loss makes sense.
Original headline is "Jane Street suffers $15bn loss in July market ructions".
HN guidelines do request use of original title and in this specific case the change of title is misleading by implying that situational awareness directly caused losses at JS.
In the text it says "the US trading firm was wrongfooted during last month’s market ructions including the meltdown at AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness" so while SA is mentioned the implications of a direct link to the losses is less strong.
They're still up $25B for the year, so it's hard to feel bad for them :-)
On a more serious note, Jane Street has hired some very impressive technical talent. I'd work for them, myself, if I didn't have to relocate to Chicago.
It's all so sketchy. Jane Street were investors in SA but presumably were much more sophisticated and savvy than Leopold. When SA got in trouble, 3 firms got into a bid war for the assets at fire sale prices: Citadel, Jane Street and a third I forgot. Citadel outbid the other 2, but it's all weird, like Jane Street wanted in on the popular boy's book that they knew was going to tank and just were waiting around in the water like sharks.
Pretty short so I imagine more details and analysis are forthcoming.
But he is very entertaining and has more than a veneer of authority. His early educational YouTube videos covering topics like derivatives pricing are genuinely very good.
[1] https://www.ft.com/content/28a51284-98cc-4767-a306-0540d2656...
HN guidelines do request use of original title and in this specific case the change of title is misleading by implying that situational awareness directly caused losses at JS.
In the text it says "the US trading firm was wrongfooted during last month’s market ructions including the meltdown at AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness" so while SA is mentioned the implications of a direct link to the losses is less strong.
On a more serious note, Jane Street has hired some very impressive technical talent. I'd work for them, myself, if I didn't have to relocate to Chicago.
Right, yes, exactly. Same here. Not wanting to relocate to Chicago is the reason that you and I both do not work for Jane Street.
This is completely illogical. If they knew it was going to tank, they wouldn’t invest.
As conspiracy theories go, this one doesn’t even have a leg to stand on.
And yes, Anthropic included.