Iran is a country, persians is the people and the people hated the ayatollahs enough to prefer getting gunned down by these bastards more then living under them. A insane imperialist apocalyptic cult with a country as hostage, murdering its oil industry by strangulation. The gulf states will build a pipeline that circumvent hormus straights and then there will be a 2nd round.
You do not humilate the likes of putin and trump, to life and tell the tale.
Persians are dominant but the Baloch and Kurd form substantial , often militarily hostile minorities, who would not call themselves Persian and are largely included as within the present-day lines due to decisions related to the British empire.
> The new fund is a private investment vehicle, not a reconstruction or reparations program and will not include any government money or grants, the source said, adding that companies based in the U.S., the Gulf Arab states, Asia, South America and Africa have agreed to commit financing.
It would be interesting to see more detail on how this vehicle is structured and what sectors the commitments are in.
I'm confused about this investment vehicle. China, their largest external trading partner, is notably absent from the list. I'm assuming they would be willing to extend Iran credit and Iran would probably prefer to deal with a Chinese company over a US company. Are US companies going to offer lower loan rates than Chinese companies? Or is the US going to use financial controls to only allow Iran to conduct international business through approved banks?
It's kind of a nonsensical explanation. As you quoted, the source says it's "not a reconstruction or reparations program" but they go on to say it will be called the Reconstruction and Development Fund and that the program will "include securing loans, establishing credit lines or directly financing the reconstruction of sites damaged in the war ... and, more broadly, infrastructure affected by the conflict."
"Our most likely estimate is that replacement costs are approximately $91 billion. Military and strategic assets — nuclear facilities, missile and drone production infrastructure, air bases, naval vessels, and air defense systems — make up roughly half that total, at approximately $46 billion, which is equivalent to 4-6 years of Iran’s pre-war defense budget"
How exactly did they arrive at this estimate? I would like to see a building-by-building breakdown, or at least a methodology. Feels very vibe-researched tbh.
You could get to a pretty good figure by assuming the Iranians know they can ask for at least twice as much. Three times as much isn't even pushing it.
More is probably better for Trump if it's larger because it's more padding through which the deal can be engineered that "such and such" [friend/proxy of Trump] has to be destination company/supplier of reparations materials or other self-dealing benefits.
This was the Suez Crisis for the US. It's all downhill from here.
I'm expected the next Democrat president to cashier a bunch of high rank officers who went along with this. They weren't brave enough to risk their careers to object to illegal orders, so out they go.
It must be lower than $300bn, because that is the size of the redevelopment fund in the MoU. My reasoning:
- Trump is desperate to get out of this war, so Iran can ask for more or less whatever they like, and he will get Vance to agree to it —- notice how Vance is already "the architect of the deal" because it's terrible. So Iran is overestimating.
- He knows they will over-estimate, but doesn't care, since:
1) he (thinks he) is getting his allies in the region to pay and
2) the family will undoubtedly start brand new companies to bid for the work
ETA: even a very hypothetical landslide Democratic Congress is substantially hands-tied over this deal. It's terrible and wasteful but going back on it is impossible.
Don't make the mistake of thinking Trump cares about Iran, and how much money they have, at all.
He cares about being able to put on a good spectacle. Shooting down the JCPOA did that. Going to war with Iran did that.
This might be a geopolitical loss for the US, but that doesn't make it a personal loss for Trump, whose interests are not aligned with those of the US.
It is an appalling loss for Trump because he knows he was humiliated and he cannot bear it.
One thing you must understand about Trump is that he is a malignant narcissist: he has an absolutely acute sense for when shame attaches to him personally and he will do anything to deflect it or deny it.
In this case, for example, suddenly Vance is "the architect of the deal".
When he can no longer bear to be associated even to this level he will do something else awful to distract himself from the feelings he is experiencing. (You could argue that this is why the conflict started when it did).
But expect at least some more sabre-rattling about Greenland, more calling Canada the 51st State and Mark Carney "Governor", more dangling a Cuba invasion in front of pathetic Lidl' Marco, etc.
ah. so over $100 billion, about 25% of which safe to assume went to friends and CEOs and executives at companies of friends of people making the big decisions at the top.
They are not neutral actors and this webpage (which is dated to April 23rd) is not neutral either.
You do not humilate the likes of putin and trump, to life and tell the tale.
It would be interesting to see more detail on how this vehicle is structured and what sectors the commitments are in.
How exactly did they arrive at this estimate? I would like to see a building-by-building breakdown, or at least a methodology. Feels very vibe-researched tbh.
I'm expected the next Democrat president to cashier a bunch of high rank officers who went along with this. They weren't brave enough to risk their careers to object to illegal orders, so out they go.
- Trump is desperate to get out of this war, so Iran can ask for more or less whatever they like, and he will get Vance to agree to it —- notice how Vance is already "the architect of the deal" because it's terrible. So Iran is overestimating.
- He knows they will over-estimate, but doesn't care, since:
1) he (thinks he) is getting his allies in the region to pay and
2) the family will undoubtedly start brand new companies to bid for the work
ETA: even a very hypothetical landslide Democratic Congress is substantially hands-tied over this deal. It's terrible and wasteful but going back on it is impossible.
reached approximately $113 billion in direct military spending till April alone
Spending. At parity with destruction.
Even with inflation and interest it'd be under $5bn now.
He cares about being able to put on a good spectacle. Shooting down the JCPOA did that. Going to war with Iran did that.
This might be a geopolitical loss for the US, but that doesn't make it a personal loss for Trump, whose interests are not aligned with those of the US.
One thing you must understand about Trump is that he is a malignant narcissist: he has an absolutely acute sense for when shame attaches to him personally and he will do anything to deflect it or deny it.
In this case, for example, suddenly Vance is "the architect of the deal".
When he can no longer bear to be associated even to this level he will do something else awful to distract himself from the feelings he is experiencing. (You could argue that this is why the conflict started when it did).
But expect at least some more sabre-rattling about Greenland, more calling Canada the 51st State and Mark Carney "Governor", more dangling a Cuba invasion in front of pathetic Lidl' Marco, etc.
Great extrapolation and extraction of value.